Update

Some first military thoughts in advance

Hello friends,

I want to give you some updates and some clarity about my intentions.

My strategy is, to first write down all main articles, or analysis, mentioned in my introduction article. See here.

This will take another 2-3 weeks.

Afterwards I plan to keep you up to date about geopolitical events, taking place, as well as conflict updates over Ukraine and other places.

The challenge is… The Russians don’t seem to follow my schedule :) (Just kidding)

It seems to me, that Russia’s strategic campaign, to end this war could start earlier, then I thought. I was thinking, it could start in January or February.

Although, there are signs, that it could be earlier. We will see.

Just in case, I want to give you some thoughts in advance, before the corresponding main article will be published.

There are operational battles on several front sections. Russia pushed deep into Ukrainian land at the beginning of the war. Especially to create deep buffer zones around big cities like Kherson. Now Russia is slowly falling back and destroying scores of Ukrainian/NATO equipment and personnel in the process. In the same time Russia is sparing its own men and giving up buffer territory.

There will be a time soon, when Ukraine runs out of equipment, ammunition, and professional troops, due to this strategy.

At the same time Russia is preparing new Army groupings in the north (Belarus) and south (Kherson, coming from Crimea). This fresh troops are formed from the 300,000 mobilized troops.

As it looks to me, we will most likely witness soon a strategic pincer/envelopment move from Russia. I won’t explain this now. It will be clear in the main article, or if the main push begins earlier, then you will most likely see it on the battlefield.

That’s for now.