17 Comments

Thank you very much, Mike! I owe you one!

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What I know is 3 Israeli sources immediately claimed responsibility:

* High level Netanyahu spokesperson (forget his name, but screen capture of his tweet is at Larry Johnson's blog & he later retracted it)

* IDF spokesperson tweet, just garage

* Israeli general ( forget name, but "Sisi" sticks in my head) also we did it, but just garage

Israel came out with 4 different stories:

1. We did it

2. We didn't do it, hamas rocket

3. We did it, but just the parking garage

4. It didn't happen hoax.

I therefore believe they did it, then panicked at level of devastation & row reaction.

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Thank you for a very detailed study of what amounts to a wart on the backside of a potentially huge conflagration involving many countries.

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author

thank you!

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I regard this as a distraction. The civilian casualty rate in Gaza now is about 400 - 500 fatalities per day, or the equivalent of one or two Hospital bombings _every day_. No one doubts that most of these are due to Israeli actions.

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Excellent, thank you.

The sad reality is that it doesn't actually matter. If the Israelis did it, even intentionally, nothing would change.

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Israel, knowing of bunkers/tunnels knew a strike at hospital parking lot was legal, had no trouble with lying about it, and likely struck those underground structures with an unarmed or low yield GBU-39 -r other JDAM, as video/audio makes clear - this is why the complex, now opened, is abandoned. Yep, there may have been 500 killed, underground.

I wonder if this was done for no other reason than to end the torture of that young female IDF soldier whose body was found there ...RIP

interesting to note which world leaders quickly stopped talking about it ...question why

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No new updates on your incorrect analysis of what you previously identified as the human potential of the war? You emphasis on unit cohesion was clearly wrong, not to mention at odds with the ways wars have historically been waged since the dawn of civilization. And your prediction of the collapse of the front seems wrong as well, since thanks to western money, ISR capability and weapons, they've only increased their capability not decreased them, regardless of how many new armies they need to form, they are still able to do so. Perhaps you need to rethink your original hypothesis.

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I’m not sure what are you trying to say. Seem that stuff you mentioned such as ISR, new armies, unit cohesion, western money etc are more related to the war in Ukraine then the bomb scene investigation.

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Yes, I am talking about the Ukraine war obviously. After re-reading those articles from this past year again, they seem very incorrect with how things have developed on the battlefields, so I was wondering if you will ever address these discrepancies and errors.

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I appreciate your comments but nothing to add and nothing to change in those articles.

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Thank You, Mike.

MK-82 (or similar) with JDAM package in air-burst has been a pretty common professional consensus since early on, the best that I can tell, though it would be a "preponderance of evidence", not "beyond a doubt".

It had that special sonic signature package, was about right, and was the kind of thing the Isrealis were dropping a lot of.

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Excellent post! I've read other posts that point to the AGM-114N Hellfire (MAC), thermobaric version of the Hellfire. If Israeli "intelligence," thought there was a tunnel entrance in the lot by the hospital, then this type of weapon makes sense.

Cheers from Cheyenne!

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author

Thank you!

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Note to the editor/proofreader: there's a duplicated paragraph, starting with "How this can be applied on site: the air burst created a shock". There's also another paragraph that is present in the text twice, once in the first half of the text and again in the second half. But right now I can't go back to hunt it, this is a long article and the day has only 24 hours. :(

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Hi groddlo. Thanks for that! Both are corrected. The second one starts with: "Calculating the effects of primary fragmentation is more complicated than the blast effect". Used a little trick to find it quickly. The duplicates are deleted.

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author

Thank you. Noted.

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