Israel

Status Update [i]

Dear community,

I can now fully confirm that what is going on is the full and final escalation of the situation around Israel. It is dead serious. Not only for the Israelis and the Palestinians, but for the whole region. The question is not whether it will blow up. It will blow up full scale. The question is how big that “full scale” explosion will be, and what countries will be affected in it.

Things are still too early to be analyzed, but I think I can issue a few solid statements since I have been studying the situation for several years. Years ago, I studied the operations of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards within Syria. During my research I dug, by chance, very deep into the operations, purposes, and organization of the Quds Forces. It is an elite formation within the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. And its purpose and organization are exactly this:  the liberation of the Palestinian people, when the time comes. To be more precise, the liberation of Jerusalem. Quds means literally “Jerusalem”.

I want to reiterate that I’m entirely neutral in my reporting about this conflict. My only interests are connected with Serbia. We have neither problem with the Palestinians nor with the Israelis.

Well, let’s come back to the Quds Forces. They are organized in several sections. There are publicly known special forces. And there are also covertly organized, let’s say undercover-acting, agents in the tens of thousands, all across the Arab world and Israel. Their purpose is to organize and prepare an all-out war of the axis of resistance against Israel, in what is essentially most of the Muslim world around Israel. We can think of them as thousands of active agents, preparing, organizing, and coordinating militias and governments around Israel for the final blow. And we can think of thousands of sleeper cells, only waiting for a prepared sign that would make them execute a predefined and pre-communicated sequence of actions.

Actions with one single purpose. Bringing an end to Israel. Don’t ask me how far they would go, I have no idea, and the less I know about this the better…

Well. When events started in Israel recently, I woke up and saw the news and pictures. Especially, the night sights of the Israeli barracks, where all the soldiers were killed while sleeping. The deactivation of Israel’s Southern Military Control, the Iron Dome etc. It was clear to me; the Quds Forces have just been activated with the final purpose.

Guys, this is pretty serious and heavy shit. I mean… I’m deeply shocked. This is definitely a historical event, essentially as Russia’s SMO progresses to conclusion, and at the start of the decolonialization of Africa. The Wars of Liberation are in full swing.

Okay, what does that all mean? First, I have no evidence for the Quds theory, but since I have spent a lot of time studying it during the Syria campaign, I can be sure of my point of view. Which doesn’t mean of course, that I could be wrong! The date of the start of the war is also interesting. The Yom-Kippur War started at the same date. It is a message.

What just happened against Israel means only one thing. Israel will mobilize everything and destroy Gaza. It remains to be seen whether it will be occupied or simply leveled with other means, but it will be destroyed. Whoever started the current operation did a perfect planning job. And this means, it was clear to him that Gaza will be destroyed. In fact, it was part of the plan. A sacrifice.

The destruction and/or occupation of Gaza is unacceptable for the Arab neighbors. My friends… We can expect the region to be blown up pretty soon.

Yes, of course. There are many theories about Israeli involvement. That’s possible; I don’t know. But it doesn’t change the situation. Here are a few theories which could be right, but again, it doesn’t matter whether they are right or not. The process has been started and it can’t be stopped any longer.

• The Mossad knew about the plans and let it happen, to consolidate the Israeli people and the government. (I have many reasons to believe that this is not true).

• The Mossad itself cracked the Iranian codes for the activation of the Quds Sleeper cells to start the process prematurely and to destroy the whole Quds Operation before it could ever be used against Israel in a worse moment. (Possible, but currently it is also a bad moment…).

Well, in fact, I assume that Iran now has all the confidence to be able to defeat Israel conventionally, since the United States is essentially disarmed. Any moves of the Americans in support of Israel will be a disaster for the Americans. The United States simply can’t afford a war against Iran at the present time, since most of its logistics resources are bogged down in Ukraine and against China.

Well, the conflict will escalate. The question is only to what scale. A full war of the Arab countries and Iran against Israel, or only a skirmish between Hamas and Hezbollah on the borders and in Gaza? Everything between these two scenarios is possible. I have no idea which one will materialize; I only hope for lasting peace for the whole region. The people in the region, both Arab/Persian and Israeli, deserve peace after the eternal perpetual imperial driven wars in the region.

I could outline my thoughts about what a potential sequence of events would look like, but I won’t do that because everything I can imagine now is horrific, and the hate in the region is great. You can expect horrific pictures from both sides. What happens in Ukraine is not comparable to what we might see from the Near and Middle East.

We at BMA are neutral in this conflict and we will not take any side or report pro- this or pro- that faction. We pray for a lasting peace.

---

[i] Edited by Piquet (EditPiquet@gmail.com)