It is difficult for me to believe that Hamas did this audacious stuff without it being part of a larger plan agreed to among Israel's enemies--the biggies being Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran. Even without a coordinated plan, if Israel goes all in with the virtual extermination of Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, I don't see how Hezbollah stays out. And if Hezbollah goes in, with their incredible arsenal in untouchable North Korean engineered tunnels, and their battle-hardened veterans of fighting in Syria, Israel loses. Not a bloody nose like 2006, but a broken neck. Even a nuclear strike on South Lebanon would not be sufficient to deter Hezbollah. All out war spells the end for Israel. As the Zionist entity collapses, a nuclear attack on Iran is possible. Then the Straight of Hormuz closes, oil goes crazy, and insurance derivatives collapse the Western economies. What mess. As a side note, even if not another shot is fired, Israel is finished. With this fiasco, we will see emigration out of Israel turn into a stampede. Everyone who can bail, will bail. Viola, demographic self-erasure.
There is a lot of talk of this being "Israel's Pearl Harbor", which reminds me of 9/11 bieng America's "New Pearl Harbor", which conveys special meaning to elites who know that FDR pushed Japan to attack, and monitored their naval progress, got the aircraft carriers out 2 weeks ahead, and the remaining modern ships out 7 days ahead, and so on.
Netanyahu has had a smug and sly look on his face in recent pictures. This unifies the country against the common-enemy, and justifies a "final solution" genocide to his electorate.
We will see how many layers this onion has. Saudi arabia can't really patch things up with Israel now. Does Israel want to make open war on Syria and Lebanon?
Great neutral analysis. Planning for this attack, I would assume, would have taken months and utilized great intelligence. To me, this points to a state-level actor supporting Hamas. Drones should be waiting in Gaza, once the mechanized forces cross the border. Let's see what happens on the northern border of Israel.
A US carrier and assorted ships are en route, most likely off the Gazan coast. Let's see if the Russian ships leave Tartis first, to check the US. Prayers that cooler heads prevail, but this does not look possible at this point.
I totally agree that the Hamas attack on Israel was an Iranian sponsored event, which had been planned for a very long time. Why now? Well as we all know, particularly you Serbians, Europe has been destabilised by the influx of Muslims ever since the Ottoman empire. They wait until they are the majority and then provoke a reaction. I’m pro Serbian, pro Russia and pro Syria by the way.
For people like me who live in Western Europe but who hate NATO and the US, this war between Hamas and Israel has divided us. Even the admin at Slavyangrad have blocked me from voicing my opinions because I dare to be pro Israel. “my enemies enemy is my friend” which I understand. Assad and Putin are in my opinion the 2 great leaders in the World today but neither are Islamists. Iran has supported both for which they are understandably grateful, but if it wasn’t for the US/NATO/CIA and their endless wars, neither man would have allegiance to an Islamist regime.
Where am I going with this? The current situation has divided us. This makes me incredibly sad because I was already an “outcast” in the West and now I’m shunned by the very pro Russia, pro Syrian and pro Serbian people I’ve been supporting. Look at the pro Palestinian demonstrations in the major European cities. These are the people who will seek to undermine our countries just like they did in Bosnia and Kosovar. It’s the West’s fault that they allowed the US/NATO/CIA bastards to manipulate us but that doesn’t mean that Islamic control of our countries is anything we want.
Your Quds theory from the Syrian experience is on target. It brought to mind the experience of the French in early '50s Algiers: Both there and Gaza's urban situation present insurmountable difficulties.
The Izzies are going to have to ignore firestorms of criticism from the Arab world, but will see the West whose support will coalesce. It's an untenable situation made unecessarily worse by the Palestinian action against civilians. Gaza will soon resemble a moonscape. I am neither pro or con anyone here. I can see how this might blow up into something more regional.
I am remiss, no words. Beyond words. The evolution of our species, nope. The slide to our extinction, perhaps. I stay close to home. The North 40. GodSpeed, prayers up. This is not a dress rehearsal. I will be in Latin America soon, permanent resident. I have been putting in place the idea of…not returning. God will guide.💙 🇷🇸🇷🇺❤️
I have seen several pro-Hamas rallies around Western Europe and North America. Could there be Hamas sleeper cells operating who might start organising terrorist attacks inside those countries whose governments have declared their fealty with Israel?
The Palestine Resistance groups are working together so don't think it is realistic to give Hamas all the credit. Don't know how anyone can stay neutral when genocide is prevalent experience for 70 years. Perhaps a community comfortable with surviving under severe oppression can remain neutral. An Israeli minister is calling for strict boycott on Gaza; what a joke, that is the problem in the concentration camp. They need access to clean water and food for starters. Iran is the best military strategist in the world.
The logistics of destroying a city of two million people is eye watering. I agree that Israel is not in a good position. At all. A huge urban mess with no specific targets, hard points or obvious concentration of logistical capability. Good luck recruiting people for that fight.
So many aspects of most Western countries has made them unfit for military struggle. The main factor is the disappearance of manufacturing, but the corrupt poorly educated leadership class is important as well as the me-first culture of basically being wimps. I am surprised it took this long. Countries with manufacturing, tough people and an education system that allows failure are going to be ascendant imo.
In the long lens of history, this affair will be just another sub-chapter of the "Events that lead up to WWIII" story. The parallels to the pre-WWI, and pre-WWII era are unmistakable.
Soon, the pre-war global economic collapse, to set the stage.
Totally lunatic analysis. You have no idea about the internal dynamics of the Iranian politics nor about the IRGC! You are only fabricating scenarios based on emotional reactions of anxiety or fear manipulation. Iran has nothing to gain from a war with Israel or vice versa despite the rhetorics from both sides. They are not lunatics to expand the affairs like that because neither has the means, resources, or interests in a damaging prolonged war. Iran and Israel are not even geographic neighbors separated by multiple countries in-between them. By such ridiculous speculation, you’re foolishly ignoring the “big elephant” in the room, i.e., the totality of this conflict having to do with Israel’s colonial settler subjugation, plunder, and ethnic cleansing of indigenous Palestinian population for the past 70 plus years and how that conflict and its contradictions have only catastrophically multiplied over time. Your focus on outside actors or influences like Iran or its IRGC is a foolish confounding of some selective facts with media driven frenzied fictions!
It is difficult for me to believe that Hamas did this audacious stuff without it being part of a larger plan agreed to among Israel's enemies--the biggies being Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran. Even without a coordinated plan, if Israel goes all in with the virtual extermination of Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, I don't see how Hezbollah stays out. And if Hezbollah goes in, with their incredible arsenal in untouchable North Korean engineered tunnels, and their battle-hardened veterans of fighting in Syria, Israel loses. Not a bloody nose like 2006, but a broken neck. Even a nuclear strike on South Lebanon would not be sufficient to deter Hezbollah. All out war spells the end for Israel. As the Zionist entity collapses, a nuclear attack on Iran is possible. Then the Straight of Hormuz closes, oil goes crazy, and insurance derivatives collapse the Western economies. What mess. As a side note, even if not another shot is fired, Israel is finished. With this fiasco, we will see emigration out of Israel turn into a stampede. Everyone who can bail, will bail. Viola, demographic self-erasure.
I appreciate a unique perspective. I'll keep it in mind as I wait and see.
There is a lot of talk of this being "Israel's Pearl Harbor", which reminds me of 9/11 bieng America's "New Pearl Harbor", which conveys special meaning to elites who know that FDR pushed Japan to attack, and monitored their naval progress, got the aircraft carriers out 2 weeks ahead, and the remaining modern ships out 7 days ahead, and so on.
Netanyahu has had a smug and sly look on his face in recent pictures. This unifies the country against the common-enemy, and justifies a "final solution" genocide to his electorate.
We will see how many layers this onion has. Saudi arabia can't really patch things up with Israel now. Does Israel want to make open war on Syria and Lebanon?
I just don't know intentions and subterfuge yet.
Great neutral analysis. Planning for this attack, I would assume, would have taken months and utilized great intelligence. To me, this points to a state-level actor supporting Hamas. Drones should be waiting in Gaza, once the mechanized forces cross the border. Let's see what happens on the northern border of Israel.
A US carrier and assorted ships are en route, most likely off the Gazan coast. Let's see if the Russian ships leave Tartis first, to check the US. Prayers that cooler heads prevail, but this does not look possible at this point.
How's things on the Serbian borders?
Cheers from Cheyenne!
Hi Alex,
I’m new on here and found “you” via Slavyangrad.
I totally agree that the Hamas attack on Israel was an Iranian sponsored event, which had been planned for a very long time. Why now? Well as we all know, particularly you Serbians, Europe has been destabilised by the influx of Muslims ever since the Ottoman empire. They wait until they are the majority and then provoke a reaction. I’m pro Serbian, pro Russia and pro Syria by the way.
For people like me who live in Western Europe but who hate NATO and the US, this war between Hamas and Israel has divided us. Even the admin at Slavyangrad have blocked me from voicing my opinions because I dare to be pro Israel. “my enemies enemy is my friend” which I understand. Assad and Putin are in my opinion the 2 great leaders in the World today but neither are Islamists. Iran has supported both for which they are understandably grateful, but if it wasn’t for the US/NATO/CIA and their endless wars, neither man would have allegiance to an Islamist regime.
Where am I going with this? The current situation has divided us. This makes me incredibly sad because I was already an “outcast” in the West and now I’m shunned by the very pro Russia, pro Syrian and pro Serbian people I’ve been supporting. Look at the pro Palestinian demonstrations in the major European cities. These are the people who will seek to undermine our countries just like they did in Bosnia and Kosovar. It’s the West’s fault that they allowed the US/NATO/CIA bastards to manipulate us but that doesn’t mean that Islamic control of our countries is anything we want.
Keep up the great work
Thank you BMA for sharing‼️
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/israel-flashpoint-localized-skirmish
Your Quds theory from the Syrian experience is on target. It brought to mind the experience of the French in early '50s Algiers: Both there and Gaza's urban situation present insurmountable difficulties.
The Izzies are going to have to ignore firestorms of criticism from the Arab world, but will see the West whose support will coalesce. It's an untenable situation made unecessarily worse by the Palestinian action against civilians. Gaza will soon resemble a moonscape. I am neither pro or con anyone here. I can see how this might blow up into something more regional.
I am remiss, no words. Beyond words. The evolution of our species, nope. The slide to our extinction, perhaps. I stay close to home. The North 40. GodSpeed, prayers up. This is not a dress rehearsal. I will be in Latin America soon, permanent resident. I have been putting in place the idea of…not returning. God will guide.💙 🇷🇸🇷🇺❤️
I have seen several pro-Hamas rallies around Western Europe and North America. Could there be Hamas sleeper cells operating who might start organising terrorist attacks inside those countries whose governments have declared their fealty with Israel?
Is this weird?
Did Trump just air signal GO?
https://x.com/mjtruthultra/status/1710802148345143551?s=46
The Palestine Resistance groups are working together so don't think it is realistic to give Hamas all the credit. Don't know how anyone can stay neutral when genocide is prevalent experience for 70 years. Perhaps a community comfortable with surviving under severe oppression can remain neutral. An Israeli minister is calling for strict boycott on Gaza; what a joke, that is the problem in the concentration camp. They need access to clean water and food for starters. Iran is the best military strategist in the world.
The logistics of destroying a city of two million people is eye watering. I agree that Israel is not in a good position. At all. A huge urban mess with no specific targets, hard points or obvious concentration of logistical capability. Good luck recruiting people for that fight.
So many aspects of most Western countries has made them unfit for military struggle. The main factor is the disappearance of manufacturing, but the corrupt poorly educated leadership class is important as well as the me-first culture of basically being wimps. I am surprised it took this long. Countries with manufacturing, tough people and an education system that allows failure are going to be ascendant imo.
In the long lens of history, this affair will be just another sub-chapter of the "Events that lead up to WWIII" story. The parallels to the pre-WWI, and pre-WWII era are unmistakable.
Soon, the pre-war global economic collapse, to set the stage.
"May you live in interesting times"
There can't be peace if there's no justice.
Totally lunatic analysis. You have no idea about the internal dynamics of the Iranian politics nor about the IRGC! You are only fabricating scenarios based on emotional reactions of anxiety or fear manipulation. Iran has nothing to gain from a war with Israel or vice versa despite the rhetorics from both sides. They are not lunatics to expand the affairs like that because neither has the means, resources, or interests in a damaging prolonged war. Iran and Israel are not even geographic neighbors separated by multiple countries in-between them. By such ridiculous speculation, you’re foolishly ignoring the “big elephant” in the room, i.e., the totality of this conflict having to do with Israel’s colonial settler subjugation, plunder, and ethnic cleansing of indigenous Palestinian population for the past 70 plus years and how that conflict and its contradictions have only catastrophically multiplied over time. Your focus on outside actors or influences like Iran or its IRGC is a foolish confounding of some selective facts with media driven frenzied fictions!