I had in mind this article for a while but now it was just a good time to put all thoughts together especially with the first engagement of the Geman made tanks on the Russian soil after Barbarossa.
The KA-52"Alligator"attack helicopter is pointing out the complexity of combined-arms operations. The entire package is needed. Tanks are vulnerable from attack helicopters with guided missiles. They cannot do their job as tanks without protection from airborn attack. In the old days they might have hidden, somehow. Now nothing is hidden. Everything is visible from the sky far above.
Jun 16, 2023·edited Jun 16, 2023Liked by Aleks, Mike Mihajlovic
If ten Ukrainians or a hundred Ukrainians die for every Russian, the decisionmakers in Kiev and Washington see this as a win, since, after all, a Russian person died. Hell, these are the people who wanted to put up a monument to a shark. The number of dead Ukrainians is of no concern to Zelenskii or his western sponsors.
I should have added, that if Ukraine temporarily seizes a chunk of land large enough to cover a good-sized coffee table, this will be proclaimed to be the greatest military triumph since the days of Alexander the Great, even if doing so costs Ukraine a mountain of corpses and another mountain of wrecked western equipment.
Either that or the cheerleaders will insist that "This is just a reconnaissance in force, a psyop to get Putin to overcommit and we killed a Russian to boot! The REAL counteroffensive will come later, after we give Ukraine more tanks/F-16s/a NATO army/IRBMs and nuclear missiles/sharks." This again, after Ukraine has paid a colossal price in blood for what the cheerleaders call a "reconnaissance in force", not to mention the price in western treasure.
This will continue, unless and until Russia either ends this war for good, or finds a way to make the lives of the decisionmakers in Washington uncomfortable. Short of WWIII, I am not sure how Russia can accomplish this.
The American elections are fast approaching, and the White House have put all their political chips on the Ukraine space, so they are very desperate for some good PR memes. We'll see how that works out this winter. Same for many politicians in Europe, they have all gambled their political futures on the Ukraine War narrative, but besides some extreme nationalistic Baltic nations, I foresee much trouble for them in upcoming elections on the old continent as well.
Because the western politicos have put all their chips on Ukraine, so to speak, and because their rhetoric is so hysterical, and because they will not personally suffer, I suspect that they will keep rolling the dice.
I think you are underestimating the effects of global dedollarization and European deindustrialization. The processes which will terminate the West's ability to prosecute this Satanic crusade against Russia were underway before the SMO started, and the sanctions, which were designed to cause regime change in Russia within weeks and therefore never intended to be sustainable, accelerated them significantly.
We've been hearing that one for a long time as well. Considering the size of the derivatives markets, I think they'd be hard to manipulate.
A better argument would be that markets have been wrong before. I had a long argument with a dog who works on Wall Street who insisted in 2006-07 that CDS spreads (aka "smart money") indicated that there would be no crisis. That one aged like milk.
Considering just recently we saw full mobilization decrees for Kiev and Ivano-Frankovsk, which are strongholds of most crazy ragul nazis - they already scraping the barrel. You know, gradually, then suddenly.
They've had mobilization in such parts before. Would to God that you prove correct, although I suppose that just means that NATO will intervene, figuring that they've used Ukrainians to soak up the first wave of bullets and shells and missiles so they don't have to.
Collapse of Ukrainian military + Collapse of Biden administration, and + The hideous role of St. Obama in surveillance, censorship and corruption in the US
Today Alex christoforou said Ukraine has lost. Actually he said Russia won. So the Arrogant West can only lose. Sooner, hopefully, but if not, later....
The way things are going so far, we might as well "give them to Ukraine", then blow them up in place, right after, and save the shipping and fuel costs.
Only actual use in battle reveals the true performance of the weapon.
Fundamentally what we see here is a difference in expectations - the tank is expected to push hard and secure terrain, but the fact is they are advancing into a wall of mines and weapons, under air inferiority, and therefore die.
It's so much easier to talk up a single weapon than the coordinated, combined arms that actually do the winning.
Thanks for this excellent, comprehensive article, Mike.
I thought that without air defence and air support any offensive would be suicidal. I'm not happy to be right with all the terrible losses of hapless Ukrainians.
Clearly a few months training is woefully insufficient to prepare mechanised forces for a battle of this intensity. We saw the chaos in some of the videos, including the one where a Bradley nearly shoots a retreating Brad.
I was surprised that the Ukrainians didn't plaster their Leos with ERA (explosive reactive armour). It seems essential in this era (ha ha) of ATGMs. We've seen it save tanks in Ukraine and Syria. This suggests, a) the Ukies lack maintenance facilities to do so and the personnel to man them (presumably destroyed) b) incompetence.
After Day 1 of the attack it was obvious that nothing could be gained and the offensive called off. The NATO/Ukrainians who ordered this should get the notoriety of First World War generals, for incompetence and callousness in getting their soldiers slaughtered for nothing.
Excellent write up, Mr. Mihajlovic, as was your prior article! I wonder if tanks are deployed to fight the last war, akin to aircraft carriers? Drones, ATGM, and the king of the battlefield (artillery) seem to make tanks obsolete. Long range hypersonic missiles, in theory so far, have rendered surface ships obsolete. The taker's role may be to take advantage of battleline breeches, and only after local air superiority has been achieved.
Amazing article Mike!
I can't imagine how much time you invested in research!
Great.
Thanks Aleks!
I had in mind this article for a while but now it was just a good time to put all thoughts together especially with the first engagement of the Geman made tanks on the Russian soil after Barbarossa.
The KA-52"Alligator"attack helicopter is pointing out the complexity of combined-arms operations. The entire package is needed. Tanks are vulnerable from attack helicopters with guided missiles. They cannot do their job as tanks without protection from airborn attack. In the old days they might have hidden, somehow. Now nothing is hidden. Everything is visible from the sky far above.
Humans just get slaughtered.
Barbarossa V2.0, who knew we would see a repeat of history our grandparents saw? History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.
If ten Ukrainians or a hundred Ukrainians die for every Russian, the decisionmakers in Kiev and Washington see this as a win, since, after all, a Russian person died. Hell, these are the people who wanted to put up a monument to a shark. The number of dead Ukrainians is of no concern to Zelenskii or his western sponsors.
I should have added, that if Ukraine temporarily seizes a chunk of land large enough to cover a good-sized coffee table, this will be proclaimed to be the greatest military triumph since the days of Alexander the Great, even if doing so costs Ukraine a mountain of corpses and another mountain of wrecked western equipment.
Either that or the cheerleaders will insist that "This is just a reconnaissance in force, a psyop to get Putin to overcommit and we killed a Russian to boot! The REAL counteroffensive will come later, after we give Ukraine more tanks/F-16s/a NATO army/IRBMs and nuclear missiles/sharks." This again, after Ukraine has paid a colossal price in blood for what the cheerleaders call a "reconnaissance in force", not to mention the price in western treasure.
This will continue, unless and until Russia either ends this war for good, or finds a way to make the lives of the decisionmakers in Washington uncomfortable. Short of WWIII, I am not sure how Russia can accomplish this.
The American elections are fast approaching, and the White House have put all their political chips on the Ukraine space, so they are very desperate for some good PR memes. We'll see how that works out this winter. Same for many politicians in Europe, they have all gambled their political futures on the Ukraine War narrative, but besides some extreme nationalistic Baltic nations, I foresee much trouble for them in upcoming elections on the old continent as well.
Because the western politicos have put all their chips on Ukraine, so to speak, and because their rhetoric is so hysterical, and because they will not personally suffer, I suspect that they will keep rolling the dice.
I think you are underestimating the effects of global dedollarization and European deindustrialization. The processes which will terminate the West's ability to prosecute this Satanic crusade against Russia were underway before the SMO started, and the sanctions, which were designed to cause regime change in Russia within weeks and therefore never intended to be sustainable, accelerated them significantly.
I hope that you prove correct, but currency prices and futures do not bear this out.
I wouldn't pay too much attention to prices for the time being. The "markets" are all fake, corrupt and broken.
We've been hearing that one for a long time as well. Considering the size of the derivatives markets, I think they'd be hard to manipulate.
A better argument would be that markets have been wrong before. I had a long argument with a dog who works on Wall Street who insisted in 2006-07 that CDS spreads (aka "smart money") indicated that there would be no crisis. That one aged like milk.
Considering just recently we saw full mobilization decrees for Kiev and Ivano-Frankovsk, which are strongholds of most crazy ragul nazis - they already scraping the barrel. You know, gradually, then suddenly.
They've had mobilization in such parts before. Would to God that you prove correct, although I suppose that just means that NATO will intervene, figuring that they've used Ukrainians to soak up the first wave of bullets and shells and missiles so they don't have to.
Nope, it's were partial mobilizations before. Now it's full. Very different. That's why it making rounds in telegram. Chernigov decree today.
Collapse of Ukrainian military + Collapse of Biden administration, and + The hideous role of St. Obama in surveillance, censorship and corruption in the US
- Scott Ritter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wd-Sp6cFnls
Jun. 15 - Question of Manpower in Ukraine Offensive against Russia
- Douglas MacGregor: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QDEGipA_YU
Jun. 15 - The Ukrainians got obliterated far from the Russian security line
- Benny Johnson: https://rumble.com/v2ul68s-hunter-associate-turns-on-biden-gop-reveals-30-million-in-obama-bribes-fbi-.html
- Jun.16 - Hunter Associate TURNS on Biden | GOP Reveals $30 MILLION in OBAMA Bribes | FBI Agents BACK Trump !?
Today Alex christoforou said Ukraine has lost. Actually he said Russia won. So the Arrogant West can only lose. Sooner, hopefully, but if not, later....
This is not a war of West vs East. This is Jewish Banking Mafia and Zionist Nazis vs the world.
Wow!
Great, comprehensive article.
The way things are going so far, we might as well "give them to Ukraine", then blow them up in place, right after, and save the shipping and fuel costs.
Looks like reality hits people in the face again, turns out you cant fight physics with psyops.
An astonishing article -- one can only admire it and congratulate the author
Thank you Boris!
PS: Ja sam Hrvat -- mnogi prijatelji su mi Srbi ;-))
Ja ljude delim na dobre i lose a ko je koje nacije ili vere mi uopste nije bitno.
Slazemo se u potpunosti.
Odlično. Drago nam je.
Slobodno podeli stranicu i sa drugovima👍
Meni je jako drago ako što više ljudi iz bivše juge čitaju naš blog.
FYI -- once again, an incredible work.
https://locals.com/feed/11169/vivabarneslaw/4161876/hush-hush-ep-73-kennedy-legacy
Kennedy Legacy – Robert Barnes - June 17, 2023
Only actual use in battle reveals the true performance of the weapon.
Fundamentally what we see here is a difference in expectations - the tank is expected to push hard and secure terrain, but the fact is they are advancing into a wall of mines and weapons, under air inferiority, and therefore die.
It's so much easier to talk up a single weapon than the coordinated, combined arms that actually do the winning.
Thanks for this excellent, comprehensive article, Mike.
I thought that without air defence and air support any offensive would be suicidal. I'm not happy to be right with all the terrible losses of hapless Ukrainians.
Clearly a few months training is woefully insufficient to prepare mechanised forces for a battle of this intensity. We saw the chaos in some of the videos, including the one where a Bradley nearly shoots a retreating Brad.
I was surprised that the Ukrainians didn't plaster their Leos with ERA (explosive reactive armour). It seems essential in this era (ha ha) of ATGMs. We've seen it save tanks in Ukraine and Syria. This suggests, a) the Ukies lack maintenance facilities to do so and the personnel to man them (presumably destroyed) b) incompetence.
After Day 1 of the attack it was obvious that nothing could be gained and the offensive called off. The NATO/Ukrainians who ordered this should get the notoriety of First World War generals, for incompetence and callousness in getting their soldiers slaughtered for nothing.
Excellent write up, Mr. Mihajlovic, as was your prior article! I wonder if tanks are deployed to fight the last war, akin to aircraft carriers? Drones, ATGM, and the king of the battlefield (artillery) seem to make tanks obsolete. Long range hypersonic missiles, in theory so far, have rendered surface ships obsolete. The taker's role may be to take advantage of battleline breeches, and only after local air superiority has been achieved.
Another excellent reading, Mike. A lot of family and friends was also impressed. Thank you
Thank you. My pleasyre.