I don’t think Russia killed Navalny and the timing highly excludes natural death.
Either homicide by the West, or suicide assisted by them.
Both benefit the West (nothing new here).
Homicide by the West is slightly disturbing because the question is how did they get to him? Did Russia security services know beforehand? These are questions that need to be answered.
As much as I respect Ritter I would take timing predictions with a grain of salt.
If the US doesn’t want the collapse to affect the elections then it’s May or December. Anytime in between is bad. I don’t think they want May. Too risky and will backfire. Democrats want to pin it on republicans but the fact is most Americans don’t care and would rather they get out completely. Hence, try to prolong it. If it’s before the election then it can’t look like a collapse.
Either way, it’s not all up to them.
Zelenskyy is suddenly open to losing some land? 😂
Regardless of what gets agreed on (or not) NATO NEEDS to appear like it lost. A situation so CLEAR that no amount of spin possible can change that. So clear that to everyone outside the west and those who are paying attention/intelligent inside that they lost.
Unequivocally.
Why? Because it will accelerate the fall of the current rancid world order. It might accelerate the big war too (if it comes) but it will also make it clear that Russia is back and accelerate the rise of the balanced multipolar world order.
What happens in May? Zelensky's tenure expires on 20th of May. If his government refuses to hold an election - which they'd currently lose - then there is the setup for a constitutional crisis. Any opposition would have an easy excuse to make a move after that day. Some oligarchs from the prewar world, perhaps, but there really is one meaningful power center outside of Kiev, namely the Ukro nazis. They already can get most of what they want, and I have to imagine Zelensky or rather the governing group for whom he is a spokesperson, will yield by then on whatever remains. My wild guess has been that this involves dividing up profits from the upcoming mobilization, and also dividing up the US/NATO cashflow with the other even more powerful group of thieves -- the US defense contractors. Zelensky gonna have gray hair by the time his team figures out how to reconcile that set of competing interests.
Militarily their task is to avoid losing until the US election is over. To do this they have to do two things. Start to give ground in order to fight on more favorable terms, and receive and absorb the next round of aid to generate more cannon fodder. This aid seems intertwined with the now annual US budget theater, which this year centers around "the border", and also pulls in aid for Israel's ongoing crimes, and the US election too. That grand bargaining session is due to play out in March. In April the US is scheduled to do something (probably dumb) with multiple aircraft carriers.
Meanwhile, Russia is apparently maintaining the intensity of combat. FWIW, in the modern day, the season for big moves is when the weather is bad.
Alex ! Good work. ! I was not surprised in the least some 4 weeks ago ! Even if the Ukronazi could hold out another week or two ! The game changer was discovering the pipeline from who knows long forgotten in the South near the Czar hunt fortification enabling Spetznaz to go deep into enemy territory, the proverbial straw that broke the 🐪 back ,! Certainly the Russian command was aware of the situation weeks before the Combined Arms combat mission commenced 4 weeks ago ! It would have been a glorious thing to be a fly on the wall at NATO Command the last 4 or so weeks ago
"When milestone X is achieved, operation Y can start in order to achieve Z. And operation Y lasts as long as needed to achieve Z." Political poignancy is as much considered as the lives of Russian troops. The Munich Conference surely involved in Avdeevka's timing, and glide bombs planned after Tucker Carslon interview, and Putin 'co-piloting' a new bomber thereafter, and surely many other things. Only when certain pawns have got to their destination, does the knight or Queen strike.
‘ to achieve as many dead Ukrainians until Ukraine goes back to Russia to put a strain on Russia and reduce its competitiveness on world markets. Why? Because the macroeconomic impact on Russia to rebuild Ukraine and to somehow take care of millions of wounded, widows, orphans, old people, resistance fighter etc. is significant.’
Let us not forget, that the Ukrainians are in general intelligent, inventive, industrious, productive people. Initially the social support and re-building of infrastructure will come at a high cost, however, consider the long term view; the returns for Russia will be much greater. With Ukraine fully integrated back into Russia, productivity, live-improving technologies for all citizens, and revenues for the whole of Russia will only improve year over year.
that's right ... the Ukrainian army is condemned to death not only by Russia, but primarily by the West, because it is the Nazis, intoxicated by ideology, who would kill the leadership of Ukraine in case of failure ...
These are the abused human lives from a young age, and this is exactly how young people in the world are drugged today, who think that politics ensures their human rights. In fact, politics only helps such people to hate more, because they themselves are on the verge of suicide.
The real question, for us that aren't with the West, and are sufficiently close to Russia to be helped by it... is what happens after the West leaves the picture? Like, what happens over the next 100 years. What happens... if Russia grows horns?
Of course neither Putin nor the Russian government had any motive to kill Navalnyii. Doesn’t matter, they will be blamed, no evidence needed, just as anyone who points out, for example, the manifold absurdities of the official story concerning Jeffrey Epstein’s death will be branded a loon.
Of course, Navalnyii was no saint, to put it mildly. Doesn’t matter, those who control the narrative are the ones who decide, and making Navalnyii a martyred hero happens to suit their purposes at the moment.
Ukraine has problems, but the western narrative has not changed. This means that the war would continue. The West is preparing the battleground for deployment of F16.s bu eliminating early warning airplanes like Beriev A 50, yesterday. Destruction of Ukrainian army is just the first stage of this war meant to weaken Russian army. In certain moment, NATO would get involved.
For Ukraine all the losses are still acceptable, there are no massive protests demonstrations against the war. As long as the Ukrainian society accepts the losses, there shall be no significant changes.
The basic problem is that the Kremlin does not understand the Western mindset. The West is not rational any more, therefore, the west is not afraid of escalation. It is a kind of religious, dogmatic state of mind that prevents reality to influence the decision making. They play by the book. The degradation of Russian early warning systems means that the West is preparing assault n Russian targets via long range systems. It is going to be a terror war.
So, to recapitulate: Contrary to what we would like Ukraine is not finished, the West can still finance the war. The Rothschilds are playing a long game, and Russia's fate is still uncertain.
I don’t think Russia killed Navalny and the timing highly excludes natural death.
Either homicide by the West, or suicide assisted by them.
Both benefit the West (nothing new here).
Homicide by the West is slightly disturbing because the question is how did they get to him? Did Russia security services know beforehand? These are questions that need to be answered.
As much as I respect Ritter I would take timing predictions with a grain of salt.
If the US doesn’t want the collapse to affect the elections then it’s May or December. Anytime in between is bad. I don’t think they want May. Too risky and will backfire. Democrats want to pin it on republicans but the fact is most Americans don’t care and would rather they get out completely. Hence, try to prolong it. If it’s before the election then it can’t look like a collapse.
Either way, it’s not all up to them.
Zelenskyy is suddenly open to losing some land? 😂
Regardless of what gets agreed on (or not) NATO NEEDS to appear like it lost. A situation so CLEAR that no amount of spin possible can change that. So clear that to everyone outside the west and those who are paying attention/intelligent inside that they lost.
Unequivocally.
Why? Because it will accelerate the fall of the current rancid world order. It might accelerate the big war too (if it comes) but it will also make it clear that Russia is back and accelerate the rise of the balanced multipolar world order.
That the traitor who stole the Mi-8 was killed in Spain was news to me! I am reminded of scripture: ‘The wages of sin are death’
Solid assessment Aleks. Funny I was just reading Scott’s piece on Navalny when yours popped up!
Thanks for the article.
What happens in May? Zelensky's tenure expires on 20th of May. If his government refuses to hold an election - which they'd currently lose - then there is the setup for a constitutional crisis. Any opposition would have an easy excuse to make a move after that day. Some oligarchs from the prewar world, perhaps, but there really is one meaningful power center outside of Kiev, namely the Ukro nazis. They already can get most of what they want, and I have to imagine Zelensky or rather the governing group for whom he is a spokesperson, will yield by then on whatever remains. My wild guess has been that this involves dividing up profits from the upcoming mobilization, and also dividing up the US/NATO cashflow with the other even more powerful group of thieves -- the US defense contractors. Zelensky gonna have gray hair by the time his team figures out how to reconcile that set of competing interests.
Militarily their task is to avoid losing until the US election is over. To do this they have to do two things. Start to give ground in order to fight on more favorable terms, and receive and absorb the next round of aid to generate more cannon fodder. This aid seems intertwined with the now annual US budget theater, which this year centers around "the border", and also pulls in aid for Israel's ongoing crimes, and the US election too. That grand bargaining session is due to play out in March. In April the US is scheduled to do something (probably dumb) with multiple aircraft carriers.
Meanwhile, Russia is apparently maintaining the intensity of combat. FWIW, in the modern day, the season for big moves is when the weather is bad.
Awesome! Thank you so much!
Alex ! Good work. ! I was not surprised in the least some 4 weeks ago ! Even if the Ukronazi could hold out another week or two ! The game changer was discovering the pipeline from who knows long forgotten in the South near the Czar hunt fortification enabling Spetznaz to go deep into enemy territory, the proverbial straw that broke the 🐪 back ,! Certainly the Russian command was aware of the situation weeks before the Combined Arms combat mission commenced 4 weeks ago ! It would have been a glorious thing to be a fly on the wall at NATO Command the last 4 or so weeks ago
Good to have you back doing what you do.
Very very good piece Aleks, one of your best in fact.
"When milestone X is achieved, operation Y can start in order to achieve Z. And operation Y lasts as long as needed to achieve Z." Political poignancy is as much considered as the lives of Russian troops. The Munich Conference surely involved in Avdeevka's timing, and glide bombs planned after Tucker Carslon interview, and Putin 'co-piloting' a new bomber thereafter, and surely many other things. Only when certain pawns have got to their destination, does the knight or Queen strike.
‘ to achieve as many dead Ukrainians until Ukraine goes back to Russia to put a strain on Russia and reduce its competitiveness on world markets. Why? Because the macroeconomic impact on Russia to rebuild Ukraine and to somehow take care of millions of wounded, widows, orphans, old people, resistance fighter etc. is significant.’
Let us not forget, that the Ukrainians are in general intelligent, inventive, industrious, productive people. Initially the social support and re-building of infrastructure will come at a high cost, however, consider the long term view; the returns for Russia will be much greater. With Ukraine fully integrated back into Russia, productivity, live-improving technologies for all citizens, and revenues for the whole of Russia will only improve year over year.
that's right ... the Ukrainian army is condemned to death not only by Russia, but primarily by the West, because it is the Nazis, intoxicated by ideology, who would kill the leadership of Ukraine in case of failure ...
These are the abused human lives from a young age, and this is exactly how young people in the world are drugged today, who think that politics ensures their human rights. In fact, politics only helps such people to hate more, because they themselves are on the verge of suicide.
This was such a good article that I have nothing to add or even comment on!
All I can say is bravo! Job well done!
The real question, for us that aren't with the West, and are sufficiently close to Russia to be helped by it... is what happens after the West leaves the picture? Like, what happens over the next 100 years. What happens... if Russia grows horns?
Great Article!
A Skeptic War Reports
https://askeptic.substack.com/
Of course neither Putin nor the Russian government had any motive to kill Navalnyii. Doesn’t matter, they will be blamed, no evidence needed, just as anyone who points out, for example, the manifold absurdities of the official story concerning Jeffrey Epstein’s death will be branded a loon.
Of course, Navalnyii was no saint, to put it mildly. Doesn’t matter, those who control the narrative are the ones who decide, and making Navalnyii a martyred hero happens to suit their purposes at the moment.
Ukraine has problems, but the western narrative has not changed. This means that the war would continue. The West is preparing the battleground for deployment of F16.s bu eliminating early warning airplanes like Beriev A 50, yesterday. Destruction of Ukrainian army is just the first stage of this war meant to weaken Russian army. In certain moment, NATO would get involved.
For Ukraine all the losses are still acceptable, there are no massive protests demonstrations against the war. As long as the Ukrainian society accepts the losses, there shall be no significant changes.
The basic problem is that the Kremlin does not understand the Western mindset. The West is not rational any more, therefore, the west is not afraid of escalation. It is a kind of religious, dogmatic state of mind that prevents reality to influence the decision making. They play by the book. The degradation of Russian early warning systems means that the West is preparing assault n Russian targets via long range systems. It is going to be a terror war.
So, to recapitulate: Contrary to what we would like Ukraine is not finished, the West can still finance the war. The Rothschilds are playing a long game, and Russia's fate is still uncertain.