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StefanoVZ65's avatar

I agree with most of what you write, but I will add a more political interpretation.

My thesis: Prigozhin is been prepared for a political role in the russian political system ("The system").

The "system" is centered around Putin (and the United Russia party); being at the center, Putin and the party must be flanked by more radical parties and leaders, which form the so-called "systemic opposition". At the left there is the communist party leaded by Zyuganov, at the right there is the lib-dem party that was leaded by Zhirinovsky.

However, Zhirinovsky died just a year ego (6 April), leaving a void in the "system": none of his successors (in the libdem party) can replace him.

Let's consider this about Prigozhin: a man that until a year ago was unknown to most russians, and today is probably the most famous man in Russia after Putin. It was around a year ago that Prigozhin started to become a public figure, after for many years he tried to avoid the public arena, negating any link to Wagner (he was probablly more famous in the West, because western media have been obsessed with him). Suddenly he started to appear in videos recruiting prisoners for Wagner (mid September), then he started to talk with media, he admitted that he was the founder of Wagner (he isn't, even if he has been part of Wagner from the start), he even started a telegram channel to answer journalists' questions. And in half a year he has become the second most famous russian.

It seems unlikely to me that all of this is happening by chance, outside (or against) the "system". More likely is that Prigozhin has been chosen to play a role in the system, akin to that played by Zhirinovsky for many years (or even a larger role). There is a part of russian society that thinks that the Kremlin is too soft, the army too corrupt, the generals too incompent, the elite too western-loving. A (not small) part of society that could be or become dangerous to the Kremlin system. Prigozhin's role seems to be to channel this "turbo-patriot" component of the russian society into a "systemic opposition" that works in concert with Putin and the Kremlin. So Prigozhin has been chosen and groomed for this role, and his every move seems designed to make him the next leader (of the radical right).

At least, this is a scenario that makes some sense for me.

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Marco's avatar

My two cents... if I may. All based on this question.

Does that video would be seen from VSU soldiers and civilians?

If yes, what about this possibility? Like Christmas 1916 truce... or Russia 1917...

Imagine You are a VSU soldier, unwittingly at the front and dreading for You life, and You know your bosses dont' give a s... about your life.

You see the boss of Your enemy mad with his upper top echelons because he lost 30 men in a day, and You know you probably will be soon one of the hundreds daily deads from Your side.

And You think that for your own bosses you are only meat for the grinder...

Demoralizing? Enraging? willing to shoot your own captain?...

My point is... what better than trying to start a revolt in the enemy army some short time before an attack?

Wouldn't the souls of the dead soldiers be proud of this?

You remember the "wunderwaffe" deads army under the mountains in LOTR?

I'm no military but... maybe Prigozhin is not that mad...

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