As a Russian born American citizen, I am proud of Russia and Putin, and ashamed of America.
They way to solve the migrant crisis is not to have one, by not destroying all the rest of the world so folks won't want to come. , To America and find out their dreams are not achievable and their ain't no democracy here, maybe in Russia?
My country (US) is failing. People and the media can claim anything. I live in Pennsylvania, we used to be a "battleground State" where elections were decided. Well, that is over, our Republican controlled State Congress allowed unlimited mail in voting, with no signature verification and no way to disqualify ballots. This same thing was done in the other States that matter and we have seen just how it works in 2 straight elections. We elected a Senator who had a TV debate where he could not speak a coherent sentence (from a stroke) he won the election , Democrats in fact dominated. This border policy is a unified position in DC both parties want it, the nation is dying
Thanks Piquet. This battle between Texas and the "Bidadmin" may be more-apparent-than real.
With public opinion favoring border controls, and 25 or more governors supporting governor Abbot, and some sending state guard personnel in support, this is another case of calling-the-bluff of DC blowhards. Greg Abbot is not a guy I like, but he is like a very competent general like Manstein or Guderian. I respect his lame-in-a-wheelchair ass. I would not get on his bad side.
And the impact on the country is severe, you are seeing human slavery, child traffickers, drugs, criminals, terrorists and cartels moving with out restraint throughout this country with little to no restraint for years. There are now 22 million illegals in the US according to a recent Yale study.
"The American history of the term “invasion” reveals that its literal meaning is entry plus enmity: Entry alone, which is trespass, is not sufficient to constitute an invasion.
Although the Framers occasionally used “invade” in a metaphorical sense, we know that in the Compact Clause they used the word in its literal sense, because that clause’s ancestor text in the Articles of Confederation refers to invasion “by enemies.”
Past non-state actors, like pirates and barbarians, fell under the category of “invaders” in the opinion of certain American statesmen, such as Madison.
Present-day non-state actors, like cartel-affiliated gangs operating within the territory of a U.S. state, may fall under the category of invaders, provided their criminal activity reaches a scale or degree of organization that deliberately overthrows or curtails the lawful sovereignty of the state."
Those entering the country are not members af an army or an organisation etc. The fact that certain cartels exploit them, trafficing them etc. make them victims of exploitation, not invaders. Setting the parameters right is essential for solving the problem.
Although we focus on the "...unless actually invaded..." words of Article 1, Section 10, Clause 3 of the Constitution, the immediately following phrase: "...or in such imminent Danger as will not admit of delay.” may point in this direction.
People who apply for asylum should be under some kind of supervision (either inside or outside the border), under safe and humane conditions. Enabling them to just vanish after they apply (if they apply at all) serve no one's interests - either local population's or their own, I agree on that.
This can calm down a bit,but I don't think it will. Many of these migrants are fleeing the wars between the cartels and the state, as in Ecuador. Also the Texans have a legitimate fear of the Cjng Cartel.
The leadership on the left and right won't come together on anything, and that's the real problem.
Also there is the fact that lots of people other than South Americans are coming across the Texas border.
With our leaders acting like children, don't be surprised when this escalates .
But we should all do what we can to not let it get any worse.
I believe you're correct, as you usually are. Twenty five-ish States signed on their support for Texas; prolly unexpected to have rapid support and of that size. The dumbells in DC may back down, however this is a rather contentious election year (aren't they all nowadays?). The Fourth Turning is on schedule to intensify. Buckle up and buy ammo.
FWIW, while undocumented migrants are a serious concern, and in the context of this immigration path are I think meant at some higher level as a means to "control" inflation of wages, the "invasion" rhetoric out of Texas is quite inflammatory and unhelpful.
Interesting detail if the Supreme court said okay to cut wire but also okay to install more, thanks for bringing that up.
Final element I'd like to add, is that Trump seems to be getting involved, at least as of yesterday approving the republican governors' sending their national guard. This raises the cost a bit for the Biden admin, I think, if they do indeed back down.
"...meant at some higher level as a means to "control" inflation of wages..."
That would be a good argument if you could consider that any job could be filled by a "body", regardless of education, language, or cultural differences. However, the migrants entering are very likely only suitable for certain jobs. Meaning that many of them will remain unemployed, and dependent upon social programs for support. This would be a net negative.
I think that the experience of Sweden and France, to name just two, are indicative of the results to be seen in the US. Lends credence to the "new democrat voters" theory of unfettered immigration. Oh, and I think that Hungary strengthened their border and they do not allow entry of new immigrants without thorough vetting. Probably smart, although many would say that it is a heartless policy.
I live in the US. A huge portion of basic blue collar jobs are done by men and women from Mexico and Latin America. There's a full spectrum from zero skills to skilled trades. The occupational culture is actually hard working and relatively cheerful (compared to the more basic end of the native born US working class, who are more aware of class dynamics (and sometimes race dynamics when talking about Afro American working class) but with the exception of a largely suppressed union places, frustrated in doing anything about it and thus resentful). If they were actually unemployed there wouldn't be nearly as much resentment by the US working class.
This is the underlying dynamic feeding US politics. The public education system is mostly bad, top end of the job market is supplemented by very well educated immigrants from around the world (but esp India, since speak English and limitless pool of graduates) and bottom end is supplemented by immigrants largely from the American continents. Since unions in the US were substantially defeated (in the Reagan thru Clinton era), plus NAFTA, there has been no outlet other than right wing politics.
He's a little late. I just read this morning that the House of Representatives (Republican majority) will not consider a Ukraine aid package any time soon. This as a result of Biden's actions at the border.
Now Biden is trying to sneak the aid through: they are offering Greece F-35s if Greece sends more weapons to Ukraine. Probably other countries as well. My thought is that it will take the US MIC decades to manufacture all of the weapons that have already been promised.
That's a good thought to chew on. What if this was planed for a blow out? With Abbott and others planning on a conflict,? The crisis is real,no doubt about it. But I can see it's being exploited by all concerned.
Biden has now said that everybody wants border security, but his hands have been tied. If only he had the authority to do something about it...
The Senate is coming to his rescue to formulate NEW legislation that gives him that authority. What a farce. The authority has existed all along; the laws are already in place. So we will see if something gets done...or maybe not.
That does not speak to the fight for Ukraine funding, though. That is in the House of Representatives, where the Republicans have said that any further effort is "dead on arrival." Of course, the Republicans have been spineless so far. We will see what happens.
Some more context ... Even in addition to fundamental disagreement on policy.
Biden admin opposed to building a fence or wall or barrier, since that was the method famously advocated by Trump. However, the budget for border patrol (well under $1B I believe) is inadequate stop people and process them in anything that doesn't resemble a concentration camp. It would come out to a few hundred $$ per person with the more recent numbers of people, which is not remotely enough.
So even if the dynamic of both sides *wanting* to have this issue as a "political football" ends, it is still necessary for Congress to get involved and allocate more money
Thanks for that link, Mike. I have to admit that I didn't read it through: after reading about a tenth of his speech, I wanted to stick sharp needles into my eyes!
As a Russian born American citizen, I am proud of Russia and Putin, and ashamed of America.
They way to solve the migrant crisis is not to have one, by not destroying all the rest of the world so folks won't want to come. , To America and find out their dreams are not achievable and their ain't no democracy here, maybe in Russia?
My country (US) is failing. People and the media can claim anything. I live in Pennsylvania, we used to be a "battleground State" where elections were decided. Well, that is over, our Republican controlled State Congress allowed unlimited mail in voting, with no signature verification and no way to disqualify ballots. This same thing was done in the other States that matter and we have seen just how it works in 2 straight elections. We elected a Senator who had a TV debate where he could not speak a coherent sentence (from a stroke) he won the election , Democrats in fact dominated. This border policy is a unified position in DC both parties want it, the nation is dying
Minor correction: It's Article 1, Section 10, clause 3.
Worst part of being the editor on this site is that no one edits my stuff. Thanks for the correction; fixed.
Thanks for the excellent analysis.
I mentioned the border crisis in Texas and US in my latest post: https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/us-and-eu-ignore-icj-ruling-and-focus
I will add a reference to your article.
Thanks Piquet. This battle between Texas and the "Bidadmin" may be more-apparent-than real.
With public opinion favoring border controls, and 25 or more governors supporting governor Abbot, and some sending state guard personnel in support, this is another case of calling-the-bluff of DC blowhards. Greg Abbot is not a guy I like, but he is like a very competent general like Manstein or Guderian. I respect his lame-in-a-wheelchair ass. I would not get on his bad side.
John in Texas Coastal Plains and Austin
"The enemy of my enemy is my friend...or at least deserves some respect."
Piquet on Galveston Bay
Get out for storms, Amigo.
:-o
Thank you for the update. The states need to take back the power they've ceded to the feds over decades.
Good fences make good neighbors.
Αn influx of unarmed civilians cannot be considered an "invasion" - that said, regardless of how the administration handles the issue.
Complete Disagreement: you would understand when people "influx" your 'home' (if You have 1)!
I live in Greece, where millions of refugees come and passed through in 2015 and where over 10% of the population are immigrants!
I disagree, this is an invasion.
And the impact on the country is severe, you are seeing human slavery, child traffickers, drugs, criminals, terrorists and cartels moving with out restraint throughout this country with little to no restraint for years. There are now 22 million illegals in the US according to a recent Yale study.
"The American history of the term “invasion” reveals that its literal meaning is entry plus enmity: Entry alone, which is trespass, is not sufficient to constitute an invasion.
Although the Framers occasionally used “invade” in a metaphorical sense, we know that in the Compact Clause they used the word in its literal sense, because that clause’s ancestor text in the Articles of Confederation refers to invasion “by enemies.”
Past non-state actors, like pirates and barbarians, fell under the category of “invaders” in the opinion of certain American statesmen, such as Madison.
Present-day non-state actors, like cartel-affiliated gangs operating within the territory of a U.S. state, may fall under the category of invaders, provided their criminal activity reaches a scale or degree of organization that deliberately overthrows or curtails the lawful sovereignty of the state."
https://www.texaspolicy.com/the-meaning-of-invasion-under-the-compact-clause-of-the-u-s-constitution/
Those entering the country are not members af an army or an organisation etc. The fact that certain cartels exploit them, trafficing them etc. make them victims of exploitation, not invaders. Setting the parameters right is essential for solving the problem.
The Trump order of Stay in Mexico worked. This flood of unregulated people is a danger to this country period.
Although we focus on the "...unless actually invaded..." words of Article 1, Section 10, Clause 3 of the Constitution, the immediately following phrase: "...or in such imminent Danger as will not admit of delay.” may point in this direction.
Very true, thank you.
People who apply for asylum should be under some kind of supervision (either inside or outside the border), under safe and humane conditions. Enabling them to just vanish after they apply (if they apply at all) serve no one's interests - either local population's or their own, I agree on that.
Beginning of the fall of the woke empire of lies.
This can calm down a bit,but I don't think it will. Many of these migrants are fleeing the wars between the cartels and the state, as in Ecuador. Also the Texans have a legitimate fear of the Cjng Cartel.
The leadership on the left and right won't come together on anything, and that's the real problem.
Also there is the fact that lots of people other than South Americans are coming across the Texas border.
With our leaders acting like children, don't be surprised when this escalates .
But we should all do what we can to not let it get any worse.
I believe you're correct, as you usually are. Twenty five-ish States signed on their support for Texas; prolly unexpected to have rapid support and of that size. The dumbells in DC may back down, however this is a rather contentious election year (aren't they all nowadays?). The Fourth Turning is on schedule to intensify. Buckle up and buy ammo.
Cheers from Cheyenne!
Our leaders are acting like the confused and indecisive old people that they indeed are. For the clear, scientific basis for this assertion, see https://grundvilk.substack.com/p/the-decline-of-the-republic-could
FWIW, while undocumented migrants are a serious concern, and in the context of this immigration path are I think meant at some higher level as a means to "control" inflation of wages, the "invasion" rhetoric out of Texas is quite inflammatory and unhelpful.
Interesting detail if the Supreme court said okay to cut wire but also okay to install more, thanks for bringing that up.
Final element I'd like to add, is that Trump seems to be getting involved, at least as of yesterday approving the republican governors' sending their national guard. This raises the cost a bit for the Biden admin, I think, if they do indeed back down.
"...meant at some higher level as a means to "control" inflation of wages..."
That would be a good argument if you could consider that any job could be filled by a "body", regardless of education, language, or cultural differences. However, the migrants entering are very likely only suitable for certain jobs. Meaning that many of them will remain unemployed, and dependent upon social programs for support. This would be a net negative.
I think that the experience of Sweden and France, to name just two, are indicative of the results to be seen in the US. Lends credence to the "new democrat voters" theory of unfettered immigration. Oh, and I think that Hungary strengthened their border and they do not allow entry of new immigrants without thorough vetting. Probably smart, although many would say that it is a heartless policy.
I live in the US. A huge portion of basic blue collar jobs are done by men and women from Mexico and Latin America. There's a full spectrum from zero skills to skilled trades. The occupational culture is actually hard working and relatively cheerful (compared to the more basic end of the native born US working class, who are more aware of class dynamics (and sometimes race dynamics when talking about Afro American working class) but with the exception of a largely suppressed union places, frustrated in doing anything about it and thus resentful). If they were actually unemployed there wouldn't be nearly as much resentment by the US working class.
This is the underlying dynamic feeding US politics. The public education system is mostly bad, top end of the job market is supplemented by very well educated immigrants from around the world (but esp India, since speak English and limitless pool of graduates) and bottom end is supplemented by immigrants largely from the American continents. Since unions in the US were substantially defeated (in the Reagan thru Clinton era), plus NAFTA, there has been no outlet other than right wing politics.
Biden does not want the border fiasco to be impediment to a deal.on Ukraine.
He's a little late. I just read this morning that the House of Representatives (Republican majority) will not consider a Ukraine aid package any time soon. This as a result of Biden's actions at the border.
Now Biden is trying to sneak the aid through: they are offering Greece F-35s if Greece sends more weapons to Ukraine. Probably other countries as well. My thought is that it will take the US MIC decades to manufacture all of the weapons that have already been promised.
Which in turn begs the question of why Biden is so desperate.
That's a good thought to chew on. What if this was planed for a blow out? With Abbott and others planning on a conflict,? The crisis is real,no doubt about it. But I can see it's being exploited by all concerned.
Exactly. Why is it so important for Biden to keep the war going in Ukraine?
https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/99773
Was this before or after?
Biden has now said that everybody wants border security, but his hands have been tied. If only he had the authority to do something about it...
The Senate is coming to his rescue to formulate NEW legislation that gives him that authority. What a farce. The authority has existed all along; the laws are already in place. So we will see if something gets done...or maybe not.
That does not speak to the fight for Ukraine funding, though. That is in the House of Representatives, where the Republicans have said that any further effort is "dead on arrival." Of course, the Republicans have been spineless so far. We will see what happens.
Some more context ... Even in addition to fundamental disagreement on policy.
Biden admin opposed to building a fence or wall or barrier, since that was the method famously advocated by Trump. However, the budget for border patrol (well under $1B I believe) is inadequate stop people and process them in anything that doesn't resemble a concentration camp. It would come out to a few hundred $$ per person with the more recent numbers of people, which is not remotely enough.
So even if the dynamic of both sides *wanting* to have this issue as a "political football" ends, it is still necessary for Congress to get involved and allocate more money
I'm off topic but believe you'll be interested, especially since O'Brien seems to be a major player in your home area.
“This makes Ukraine an enormous contributor to [USA] security because they have the most experience in fighting THE WAR THAT IS COMING.”
https://mikehampton.substack.com/p/ukraine-war-propaganda-by-the-usas
Thanks for that link, Mike. I have to admit that I didn't read it through: after reading about a tenth of his speech, I wanted to stick sharp needles into my eyes!
Ahh, that explains my blurry vision :)
The second half is what counts more.