! Urgent update!

Prigozhin coup or not?

I’ll make it very quick.

Reports coming from Russia and Ukraine are suggesting that Prigozhin decided to trigger a coup in Moscow. Wagner columns allegedly blocked roads in Rostov and the national guard in Russia is on its highest alert.

There are two possible scenarios:

1. Russia announced that it will take control over all military and paramilitary units in the SMO and take them under contract. Prigozhin as the business owner, in theory and legally could have the authority to reject signing the contract. Keeping Wagner “independent”. In theory in Russia there is a big faction which is in favor of starting a large war and destroying Ukraine ASAP. Prigozhin, as a patriot, could be one of them. And surely, he could have many connections with high-ranking people with the same opinion. He could have decided to start a coup to unleash the real capabilities of the Russian army against Ukraine. Which would be a epic bloodbath. The current mass-suicide of the Ukrainian troops would be a joke against that. Allegedly, there are several brigades within Russia, that would be loyal to Prigozhin.

   Under normal circumstances I would consider that as utter bullshit. But there are plenty messages that indicate that perhaps something COULD be in the making overnight.

2. It could be a major large-scale Maskirovka. The whole day already we saw large troop movements across Russia and the frontlines. Moreover, there is an unusual high number of strategic bombers airborne currently. Eventually, I read reports that the Ukrainians try to take advantage over the problems within Russia and started another large-scale attack in the South.

   It also could have been a large pulling operation to pull out the best Ukrainian troops in an offensive. After destroying this offensive potential, Russia could start somewhere in Ukraine its own counter-offensive.

3. Nothing is going on and people simply panicking around without a reason 😊

It is also remarkable, that things are escalating slightly in Kosovo as well.

Honestly, I hope there is no coup and we are in option 2 or 3. A major destruction of Ukraine would trigger WW3 and/or destroy all plans to build up a multipolar world order with Russia in a leading role. Which is the life work of President Putin. In the short-term it cost some Russian lives. In the long term it saves them since WW3 would cost far more lives. This is the reason we are in a SMO and not in War.

Since everything is happening so fast, I don’t feel comfortable to value any probabilities to any of these three options. Perhaps there is even a fourth or a fifth option possible? I don’t know. If you have ideas, write it in the comment section.