US Chemical Warfare specialists were on the move out of Washington DC yesterday, along with lots of white planes with small ID numbers on the tails, a friend told me, as he is visiting.
The troops only had small unit numbers on their uniforms, which he looked up. Chemical Warfare.
False flag? Against whom? Just wondering. Desperate moments.
Prigozhin’s rants against his superiors may have been a clever PSYOP to suck in the enemy and motivate his own soldiers. I can also see the value of gathering radical Russian voices into the support of a figure like Prigozhin serving as controlled opposition.
But I wonder: if this was a deception operation, is this a wise way to conduct the war? Couldn’t this in the long term have a demoralizing effect, damaging unity, trust, and discipline, both in the military and the Russian civilian population, which ultimately outweighs the benefits? While clever in the short-term, doesn’t such PSYOPs damage the larger civilization-building purpose of the SMO? Does the Russian leadership understand how such stunts plays into the information war?
Very interesting insights on Wagner/GRU/Prigozhin. Very clever deception operation with massive achievement for Russia. Kudos to the Russian psyop masters. My take on the Americans sending the latest Patriot system to Ukraine was simply to get a true assessment of how far behind the Russians they are. And they are far behind. However, testing your weapons in live action is the best way to find out. Yes, an embarrassment, but the entire NATO pattern of behavior is rotten to the core, evil and arrogant, and shameful and embarrassing to the people of these countries. They will pay.
From the very beginning, Russia was one step ahead. Anyone who wants to analyze previous events and facts objectively can easily determine this. It is enough to summarize the current results and compare them with the announced expectations. It is surprising that it has an advantage in the informational field as well. All Western attempts to "demonize" Russia at the international level have failed. The whole operation with Wagner was of much greater importance than Bachmut. Wagner has become by far the most attractive PMC for "adventurers" around the world who in most cases would end up on the opposite side. Russia's behavior of being weak has borne fruit. In my opinion, such masking destroyed all efforts of the West to portray her in a negative light. I still think that Russia will try to drag the main "rat" into the trap for some time.
Russian forces have made small gains to put the squeeze on some Ukrainian positions. That's the kind of advance I expect from Russia, incremental gains to further increase the K/D ratio in Russia's favor. I don't rule out big arrow offensives entirely, but for now I'm not aware of any direction for such an offensive that the benefit would outweigh the cost.
I think the middle name for the Chef of Wagner PMC is Maskirovka 🙃
It would make sense that the next meatgrinder will pull AFU forces from Kharkiv, thereby enabling a cauldron to eventually form around Kharkiv. Best to take the city, than destroy if possible, especially since it is more Russian than other cities.
Simplicius posted a great write up on the Kinzhal. His thesis is that the Kinzhal is sub-hypersonic well before impact; in fact it is peak velocity shortly after starting its decent towards the target. Daddy Zircon does not have a ballistic trajectory and is designed to achieve hypersonic speeds at a lower altitude. Your thoughts, please?
Finally, as all wars are foundationally economic, I believe Russia, Persia, and, to a lesser extent China* will respond directly to the US in an economic fashion. The fall of the USD is one vector. Friendly relations with Egypt (Suez), Persia (Hormuez), Panama (Canal), and Indonesia/Malaysia (Malaca) would economically cripple the US. "Sinking," England would go a long ways towards righting centuries of wrongdoing towards Russia.
*Chinese markets still rely heavily on the US, plus they have a large, albeit shrinking, pile of USTs. The Renembi will eventually be used as the foundation of the new world order (see also Shanghai Oil Exchange, supported by gold-back Renembi).
Cheers from Cheyenne!
p.s. To match your "sailor's blue language,": fuck, shit, Asshat Biden. 😁
hi Aleks & Black Mountain Analysis ~ I've been following your analyses and reckon they're about as 'spot-on' as anyone can be atm.. Salute! Further ~ I'd very much like to repost this on: https://bestchinainfo.com/ ~ Naturally with full credit and links. This ok with you?
Russia doesn't need to attack America.
America is destroying itself without any help needed from abroad, and the accelerator of this destruction is stuck nailed to the floor ...
Fantastic analysis!!
This is in the “must read” category!
Cheers!
Thank You, Aleks.
US Chemical Warfare specialists were on the move out of Washington DC yesterday, along with lots of white planes with small ID numbers on the tails, a friend told me, as he is visiting.
The troops only had small unit numbers on their uniforms, which he looked up. Chemical Warfare.
False flag? Against whom? Just wondering. Desperate moments.
Very good writing. Impressive and enjoyable. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ENERGY AND TIME!
As always, a brilliant analysis!
Prigozhin’s rants against his superiors may have been a clever PSYOP to suck in the enemy and motivate his own soldiers. I can also see the value of gathering radical Russian voices into the support of a figure like Prigozhin serving as controlled opposition.
But I wonder: if this was a deception operation, is this a wise way to conduct the war? Couldn’t this in the long term have a demoralizing effect, damaging unity, trust, and discipline, both in the military and the Russian civilian population, which ultimately outweighs the benefits? While clever in the short-term, doesn’t such PSYOPs damage the larger civilization-building purpose of the SMO? Does the Russian leadership understand how such stunts plays into the information war?
Very interesting insights on Wagner/GRU/Prigozhin. Very clever deception operation with massive achievement for Russia. Kudos to the Russian psyop masters. My take on the Americans sending the latest Patriot system to Ukraine was simply to get a true assessment of how far behind the Russians they are. And they are far behind. However, testing your weapons in live action is the best way to find out. Yes, an embarrassment, but the entire NATO pattern of behavior is rotten to the core, evil and arrogant, and shameful and embarrassing to the people of these countries. They will pay.
From the very beginning, Russia was one step ahead. Anyone who wants to analyze previous events and facts objectively can easily determine this. It is enough to summarize the current results and compare them with the announced expectations. It is surprising that it has an advantage in the informational field as well. All Western attempts to "demonize" Russia at the international level have failed. The whole operation with Wagner was of much greater importance than Bachmut. Wagner has become by far the most attractive PMC for "adventurers" around the world who in most cases would end up on the opposite side. Russia's behavior of being weak has borne fruit. In my opinion, such masking destroyed all efforts of the West to portray her in a negative light. I still think that Russia will try to drag the main "rat" into the trap for some time.
Extremely well done. Kudos.
Russian forces have made small gains to put the squeeze on some Ukrainian positions. That's the kind of advance I expect from Russia, incremental gains to further increase the K/D ratio in Russia's favor. I don't rule out big arrow offensives entirely, but for now I'm not aware of any direction for such an offensive that the benefit would outweigh the cost.
Well, surprise, surprise! Another great article!!
A couple of notes, if I may:
I think the middle name for the Chef of Wagner PMC is Maskirovka 🙃
It would make sense that the next meatgrinder will pull AFU forces from Kharkiv, thereby enabling a cauldron to eventually form around Kharkiv. Best to take the city, than destroy if possible, especially since it is more Russian than other cities.
Simplicius posted a great write up on the Kinzhal. His thesis is that the Kinzhal is sub-hypersonic well before impact; in fact it is peak velocity shortly after starting its decent towards the target. Daddy Zircon does not have a ballistic trajectory and is designed to achieve hypersonic speeds at a lower altitude. Your thoughts, please?
Finally, as all wars are foundationally economic, I believe Russia, Persia, and, to a lesser extent China* will respond directly to the US in an economic fashion. The fall of the USD is one vector. Friendly relations with Egypt (Suez), Persia (Hormuez), Panama (Canal), and Indonesia/Malaysia (Malaca) would economically cripple the US. "Sinking," England would go a long ways towards righting centuries of wrongdoing towards Russia.
*Chinese markets still rely heavily on the US, plus they have a large, albeit shrinking, pile of USTs. The Renembi will eventually be used as the foundation of the new world order (see also Shanghai Oil Exchange, supported by gold-back Renembi).
Cheers from Cheyenne!
p.s. To match your "sailor's blue language,": fuck, shit, Asshat Biden. 😁
Reading your analysis is always worth it. Especially comparing to all the others. I was so happy to saw your mail in my inbox today.
I have done my much smaller analysis on the back of Aleks' here:
https://www.gfilotto.com/what-now-cocaine-clown
where mainly I add/differ on some points. Feel free to critique if you want.
geez, you're a good writer !
hi Aleks & Black Mountain Analysis ~ I've been following your analyses and reckon they're about as 'spot-on' as anyone can be atm.. Salute! Further ~ I'd very much like to repost this on: https://bestchinainfo.com/ ~ Naturally with full credit and links. This ok with you?
Thanks for your wonderful articles.👍💪💪💪💪💪💪💪
Superb writing, excellent clarity