18 Comments

Excelent analysis, thank you, I am from Republica Bolivariana de Venezuela, for understanding the SMO I need to understand the people of Russia, the Slavian people, now I have a better idea of what is happenig, and have to read very much. In conclusion, " NATO go to hell

Expand full comment

Thank you for the detailed analysis. I have a notion that the US and NATO are not sending their main battle tanks for several reasons, one is that they don't want to deplete their own stocks, but more importantly, they don't want to endure the embarrassment of having them fare poorly on the battlefield. They are not particularly durable and reliable under harsh battlefield conditions, and require too much tending and maintenance. They would almost certainly be dispatched quickly on the front lines which would be highly embarrassing and telling of the paper tiger nature of Western armaments. They are often too complicated and too prone to problems. They were built for profit, not for war.

Expand full comment

The 55 ton Abrams tank is a fuel hog at 0.6 mpg. The Leopard has greater range with diesel fuel. How will they be able to supply them with enough fuel to move them across Ukraine without working trains? And then supply them with fuel across long supply lines without any air cover? Seems likely that by the time they arrive they will primarily used for defensive counterattacks rather than leading offensives east of the Dnieper.

Expand full comment

Yes, I expect they will need them in western Ukraine in the spring, just to shore up new defensive lines. They might even put them in trenches and use them more as stationary guns, if they use them at all. It is mostly for show for the western media, and maybe to try and keep moral up. There is almost no chance they will be used successfully for any type of mobile offensive.

Expand full comment

I read, and observe a lot.. And this is probably the best overall analysis I've seen.. May I share this, verbatim, with full credits and links, on here: https://bestchinainfo.com/ ?

Expand full comment

Hi Barrie,

thanks for that great feedback. Yes, of course. I appreciate it. Thanks.

Expand full comment

as usually very comprehensive and understandable analysis. Thank you.

Expand full comment

Thank you for sharing 👍🏼

Expand full comment

Awesome as always!!, a small point to make, Ukraine is not currently out of tanks, the definition of ukraine at the moment is a long list of "don't have ..."

Expand full comment

:D :D :D

Thanks ;)

Expand full comment

Hey brother just wanted to say thanks again for this analysis and your advertising it in telegram for those of us unaware. I look forward to going through the rest of your work from this conflict.

Expand full comment

Best analysis one can find...

Thank you!

Greetings from Poland.

Expand full comment

“Slavs - Russians, Belarusians, Ukrainians - are the most recalcitrant peoples in the world. They can be destroyed, but not conquered. That is why this seed must be destroyed.” “Hitler was a stupid boy, he acted openly. We won't have any traces." “The smaller the population will be in this territory (USSR and Russia), the more successful its development by the West will be” Advisor to the President of the United States Zbigniew Brzezinski

Expand full comment

“Slavs - Russians, Belorussians, Ukrainians - are the most recalcitrant peoples in the world. They can be destroyed, but not conquered. That is why this seed must be destroyed.” Advisor to the President of the United States Zbigniew Brzezinski

Expand full comment

unfortunately Slav's Vs slav"s ....neocon'bermingmamers'wantcontinous wars for profiting ....

Expand full comment

The biggest urban myth is that ukro "human" resources are approaching their end. Nothing can be further from the truth. In hypothetical scenario, there are still 9 million adult males and up to 2 million can be still mobilized, realistically which is basically already happening.

It is almost guaranteed that there will be a new ukro offensive in Zaporozhye (similar to Kharkov and Kherson) to reach Azov sea or Melitopol and subsequently another Russian "regrouping" to save lives. The necessary equipment is already on the way.

Expand full comment

Well Patrick you seem to have created your own urban myth.

Expand full comment