Thank you Alex. Your analysis always completes some parts of this puzzle for me. What do you think would be the Russian strategy regarding big cities like Dnepropetrovsk, Sumy, Kharkov etc in case of big arrow offensives? How exactly could the actual endgame in Ukraine look like in reality, legally speaking? Capitulation signing by Zelensky or some Ukrainian generals with total surrender of remaining troops? What could be the West's move in this case? It is obvious that Ukraine is much more important for US then Afghanistan or even Syria. Thank you again for your time and attention to this matter. Much appreciated.
Well, that's a lot of high value questions. To answer them, I'd need to write another article as well haha :))
Please excuse me, that I can't use the comment section for this.
Nevertheless, I want to give you one opinion. I don't believe, that Russia is willing to fight in a major city. These are Russian cities and Russia doesn't want to destroy more, then needed. The strategy is, to destroy Ukraine's army. When the army is gone, Russia can march through to the Polish border and cut off supplies. The cities with their surviving territorial defence units wouldn't have another chance then to surrender after a few weeks of tough words.
If Russia decides for a decisive blow against Kiev, things could end up ugly. But as I wrote. For now it is impossible. That could change, though.
From where I am located, it is absolutely proof positive Russia doesn't want to destroy or even harm cities. That's a fact. :) The question is will it have to, given the tactics of Ukrainian army and it's masters.
I realize this is too wide of a topic for the comments section.
Always looking forward to your articles. The insights you share are really valuable. Top class analysis that helps keep the head straight amidst this madness.
Expressed further under the Decline of The West, vectored via that failed, longest of the long LongShots, this engineered US-NATO-UK Ukrainian Proxy War over the lives of the poor Ukrainian people to weaken Russia, tip out its government and expropriate its considerable resources.
Dr. Angela Merkel admitted to being a deceptive liar over the Minsk Agreement.
Dr. Henry Kissinger has publicized what they all knew and planned for, while strenuously denied.
The Russian Government figured it all, in any case and so . . .
___________
Judgment shall be by outcomes. Thus far, it is the EU and NATO that will disintegrate. Paradoxically, the present winners are simultaneously the United States and Russia. Those in the way of superpower aspirations invariably are ground up in the geo-political machinery.
Discussed here in lengthy, abstruse and eclectic prose across several essays that will leave the reader visibly aged, yet possibly far wiser although admittedly that is entirely speculative . . . https://les7eb.substack.com
A possible end could be a shock capture of Kiev and the capture of the political and military leadership of Ukraine especially Elenskyy and Zarushny and force the surrender of its leadership followed by an open trial, prosecution and conviction for war crimes and wholesale corruption. Yes a new western sponsored political and military leadership will emerge in Lviv, but it would already see the surrender and collapse of the entire Eastern and Central Ukrainian military... That would be the most humane thing to spare an entire remaining nation especially is young men and any men of conscriptable age...
Thank you Alex. Your analysis always completes some parts of this puzzle for me. What do you think would be the Russian strategy regarding big cities like Dnepropetrovsk, Sumy, Kharkov etc in case of big arrow offensives? How exactly could the actual endgame in Ukraine look like in reality, legally speaking? Capitulation signing by Zelensky or some Ukrainian generals with total surrender of remaining troops? What could be the West's move in this case? It is obvious that Ukraine is much more important for US then Afghanistan or even Syria. Thank you again for your time and attention to this matter. Much appreciated.
Hi Lux.
Thank you for your very kind words.
Well, that's a lot of high value questions. To answer them, I'd need to write another article as well haha :))
Please excuse me, that I can't use the comment section for this.
Nevertheless, I want to give you one opinion. I don't believe, that Russia is willing to fight in a major city. These are Russian cities and Russia doesn't want to destroy more, then needed. The strategy is, to destroy Ukraine's army. When the army is gone, Russia can march through to the Polish border and cut off supplies. The cities with their surviving territorial defence units wouldn't have another chance then to surrender after a few weeks of tough words.
If Russia decides for a decisive blow against Kiev, things could end up ugly. But as I wrote. For now it is impossible. That could change, though.
Hi Aleks,
From where I am located, it is absolutely proof positive Russia doesn't want to destroy or even harm cities. That's a fact. :) The question is will it have to, given the tactics of Ukrainian army and it's masters.
I realize this is too wide of a topic for the comments section.
Always looking forward to your articles. The insights you share are really valuable. Top class analysis that helps keep the head straight amidst this madness.
In this conflict, God Favours Russia.
____________
Expressed further under the Decline of The West, vectored via that failed, longest of the long LongShots, this engineered US-NATO-UK Ukrainian Proxy War over the lives of the poor Ukrainian people to weaken Russia, tip out its government and expropriate its considerable resources.
Dr. Angela Merkel admitted to being a deceptive liar over the Minsk Agreement.
Dr. Henry Kissinger has publicized what they all knew and planned for, while strenuously denied.
The Russian Government figured it all, in any case and so . . .
___________
Judgment shall be by outcomes. Thus far, it is the EU and NATO that will disintegrate. Paradoxically, the present winners are simultaneously the United States and Russia. Those in the way of superpower aspirations invariably are ground up in the geo-political machinery.
Discussed here in lengthy, abstruse and eclectic prose across several essays that will leave the reader visibly aged, yet possibly far wiser although admittedly that is entirely speculative . . . https://les7eb.substack.com
____________________________
A possible end could be a shock capture of Kiev and the capture of the political and military leadership of Ukraine especially Elenskyy and Zarushny and force the surrender of its leadership followed by an open trial, prosecution and conviction for war crimes and wholesale corruption. Yes a new western sponsored political and military leadership will emerge in Lviv, but it would already see the surrender and collapse of the entire Eastern and Central Ukrainian military... That would be the most humane thing to spare an entire remaining nation especially is young men and any men of conscriptable age...