My understanding (theory) is based on that someone somewhere in the US and Israel knew the attack will happen and let it happen. They might not have known the exact time and date or how brutal it will be but they knew.
If that’s the case, then Israel and/or US wanted it to happen not Iran (for the reasons I mentioned above). They wanted it for the same reason that even though Israel was aware of the attack on the Yom Kippour war, they didn’t do a preemptive strike.
First, ethnically cleanse Gaza. They expected the barbarity of the attack would keep world opinion with them. It didn’t and they miscalculated.
Second, draw Syria and Iran in and have a pretext for that war. They are still focused on Russia. Since both are friends and allies of Russia, this - in their again wrong calculation - stretches Russia.
Third, three of the new entrants to BRICS are directly affected by this - Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Iran (and potentially the UAE to some extent). It doesn’t stop that but a military victory might make them question that decision. Again, wrong calculation.
I’m not married to this theory, and it’s possible that BOTH sides wanted it. However, the argument for only US/Israel with the evidence from the Israeli response on the day of the attack makes it stronger.
I fully believe that all parties involved wanted this conflict to happen very badly.
Every party for its own reasons. Maybe I failed to point that out. I tried to hint to it in the final chapter of this article for example.
I think that’s where we differ.
My understanding (theory) is based on that someone somewhere in the US and Israel knew the attack will happen and let it happen. They might not have known the exact time and date or how brutal it will be but they knew.
If that’s the case, then Israel and/or US wanted it to happen not Iran (for the reasons I mentioned above). They wanted it for the same reason that even though Israel was aware of the attack on the Yom Kippour war, they didn’t do a preemptive strike.
First, ethnically cleanse Gaza. They expected the barbarity of the attack would keep world opinion with them. It didn’t and they miscalculated.
Second, draw Syria and Iran in and have a pretext for that war. They are still focused on Russia. Since both are friends and allies of Russia, this - in their again wrong calculation - stretches Russia.
Third, three of the new entrants to BRICS are directly affected by this - Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Iran (and potentially the UAE to some extent). It doesn’t stop that but a military victory might make them question that decision. Again, wrong calculation.
I’m not married to this theory, and it’s possible that BOTH sides wanted it. However, the argument for only US/Israel with the evidence from the Israeli response on the day of the attack makes it stronger.