When you talk about a Belarusian front, do you mean Russia will open a front on the western side of the Dnieper?
I particularly believe that Russia will in fact use Belarusian land, but only to reach Chernigov from the eastern side of the Dnieper. Opening up a front on the Western side of the Dnieper would complicate Russian logistics and…
When you talk about a Belarusian front, do you mean Russia will open a front on the western side of the Dnieper?
I particularly believe that Russia will in fact use Belarusian land, but only to reach Chernigov from the eastern side of the Dnieper. Opening up a front on the Western side of the Dnieper would complicate Russian logistics and wouldn't have the compound effect of blocking the most direct access between Kiev and Donbass. Kiev could be within the artillery range of a Russian force sitting on the eastern side of the Dnieper without Russia having to deal with the problems of grinding Kiev itself, so it looks like a much better and overall less risky solution, in line with the Russian conduct in the last months.
When you talk about a Belarusian front, do you mean Russia will open a front on the western side of the Dnieper?
I particularly believe that Russia will in fact use Belarusian land, but only to reach Chernigov from the eastern side of the Dnieper. Opening up a front on the Western side of the Dnieper would complicate Russian logistics and wouldn't have the compound effect of blocking the most direct access between Kiev and Donbass. Kiev could be within the artillery range of a Russian force sitting on the eastern side of the Dnieper without Russia having to deal with the problems of grinding Kiev itself, so it looks like a much better and overall less risky solution, in line with the Russian conduct in the last months.
What do you think about this possibility?
Hi Fulano.
Thanks for your comment.
Yes, I agree. And I essentially described it in detail here.
That's your answer.
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/war-update-03f