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Mile Krajisnik's avatar

Odlicna analiza. Ovako kvalitetne tekstove je stvarno tesko naci na internetu.

Sve pohvale ekipi i samo nastavite!

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Aleks's avatar

Hvala Mile ;)

Trudimo se.

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DoctorZurk's avatar

Fantastic analysis

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Shinmen Takezo's avatar

Nice, nice analysis. You all had your thinking caps on. And not to get off the beaten path above... But I want you all to take a look at this development. I caught this thread on GLP about Ukrainian military using chemical weapons on Russian military--with videos posted on Twitter...

https://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message5355192/pg1?regp=bm9fMTY3NjAwOTc4Mg==

I forwarded this info to the Redacted show a couple days ago--and they opened up with this as their lead story Thursday, with Scott Ritter doing some analysis on what he witnessed. In short he believes that Hydrogen Cyanide gas is being employed. Here's a link to Thursday's Redacted show. The stuff starts at around 37:45 minutes in...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziK3d5q2uDU&t=1s

Now--if this pans out to be true, I am thinking that the Ukrainians plan to deploy larger scale chemical weapons against Russians as this offensive intensifies--as they will have no other options being desperate. Also--would these fanatic Azov types deploy chems--just to provoke a nuclear response from Putin so that NATO/US become involved directly? I am wondering what will Putin's reaction be to this if it happens--and when he sees these video (which may already have happened). Your comments please.

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Trajan's avatar

I think the west has realized that Ukr. cannot be 'held' and is in the act of wrecking it as much as possible to keep Russia from having anything left to exploit, except a denuded wasteland on its border....

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Aleks's avatar

Indeed. That's actually the content of my "Scorched Earth" article.

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Szitecki's avatar

Logical and insightfull. I am also a fan of Slavyangrad. It is good to know. Knowledge quiets the mind and emotions... :)

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Kun Bela's avatar

The cold, objective analysis that can be understood by the common people is simply stated ! Perhaps Ukraine can be compared to that, as if it were a large predatory primitive creature whose brain is already dead, but the information has not yet reached its tail and it is flapping wildly, causing a lot of damage, even though the end is inevitably approaching ! Thanks Aleks for your work !

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Fulano's avatar

When you talk about a Belarusian front, do you mean Russia will open a front on the western side of the Dnieper?

I particularly believe that Russia will in fact use Belarusian land, but only to reach Chernigov from the eastern side of the Dnieper. Opening up a front on the Western side of the Dnieper would complicate Russian logistics and wouldn't have the compound effect of blocking the most direct access between Kiev and Donbass. Kiev could be within the artillery range of a Russian force sitting on the eastern side of the Dnieper without Russia having to deal with the problems of grinding Kiev itself, so it looks like a much better and overall less risky solution, in line with the Russian conduct in the last months.

What do you think about this possibility?

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Aleks's avatar

Hi Fulano.

Thanks for your comment.

Yes, I agree. And I essentially described it in detail here.

That's your answer.

https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/war-update-03f

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Clement Waine's avatar

Excellent Analysis!

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Skeptical Canuck's avatar

Agreed. Makes the most sense of all analyses that I've read so far.

Many thanks, from a skeptical, old fart, canadian

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Pedro845's avatar

Cyber POLYGON and '10 days of darkness' projections.. now Kessler syndrome makes it all make sense

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carlos de armas's avatar

I'm definitely stealing this "... that the potential of highly motivated ideologically confused people..." .Thanks for your efforts, glad to read that you are a group now. Better on Slavyangrad than on The Duran. Your publications are beginning to get the proper recognition.

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Aleks's avatar

Haha yeah... well :-) Every nation has its own problems :-)

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Nostradamus's avatar

Didn't the US increase its military footprint in Europe to 100,000? Kanadastan also increased in presence in Europe.

Why can't they shock and awe Russia since UkroNazistan is a de facto NATO country?

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Aleks's avatar

To your question... You read this article, right?

I described in detail, why no-one can move big formations without months of notice.

In this case, the Russians would have more then enough time, to prepare as well.

Shock and awe isn't possible anymore nowadays, between the great powers.

That's why Russia is planing with making the enemy blind and deaf in case of conflict.

But I of course understand your point.

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Alberto R.'s avatar

Because in that case Russia will nuke them. At least in Ukraine

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Nostradamus's avatar

Actually, it turns out that the emperor has no clothes.

Of the 80,000 troops that they had in Europe prior to Feb 24, 2022

only 10% were armed. NATO's warehouses are currently empty and they're scraping the barrel in South Korea and Israel to send weapons to Kiev.

If a war started today, France would have munitions for 4 days of fight and Germany 7 days!

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Alexander Scipio's avatar

My guess is that the Biden administration - whoever is actually running it - and the neocons and the Military Industrial Complex, are so scared of the world seeing that they've lost this war (think of the impact to American weapons sales if NATO falls apart and our weapons can't beat a very slow-moving Russia...), that America will introduce tacnukes to ensure the Russians are stopped.... Ready or not.

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